Inflation Targeting and Macroeconomic Performance: An Empirical Assessment

Authors

  • Samina Iqbal Department of Economics, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan
  • Muhammad Faisal Khan School of Economics, International Islamic University, Islamabad, Pakistan

Keywords:

Inflation targeting, monetary policy, macroeconomic stability, economic growth, central bank independence

Abstract

Inflation targeting (IT) has emerged as a dominant monetary policy framework adopted by central banks to enhance price stability and macroeconomic credibility. This study empirically examines the impact of inflation targeting on macroeconomic performance, focusing on inflation control, output stability, and economic growth. Using cross-country evidence from inflation-targeting and non-inflation-targeting economies, the analysis evaluates whether IT frameworks deliver superior macroeconomic outcomes. The findings suggest that inflation targeting is associated with lower inflation volatility and improved policy transparency, though its effectiveness depends heavily on institutional strength, fiscal discipline, and financial market development. The study contributes to ongoing policy debates by highlighting both the benefits and limitations of inflation targeting in emerging and developing economies.

References

Bernanke, B. S., Laubach, T., Mishkin, F. S., & Posen, A. S. (1999). Inflation targeting: Lessons from the international experience. Princeton University Press.

Mishkin, F. S. (2007). Inflation targeting in emerging market countries. American Economic Review, 97(2), 216–221.

Svensson, L. E. O. (1997). Inflation forecast targeting: Implementing and monitoring inflation targets. European Economic Review, 41(6), 1111–1146.

Ball, L., & Sheridan, N. (2005). Does inflation targeting matter? IMF Staff Papers, 52(1), 1–50.

Gertler, M. (2004). Monetary policy, inflation, and the business cycle. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119(3), 1027–1077.

Clarida, R., Galí, J., & Gertler, M. (1999). The science of monetary policy. Journal of Economic Literature, 37(4), 1661–1707.

Hammond, G. (2012). State of the art of inflation targeting. Bank of England.

Mishkin, F. S., & Schmidt-Hebbel, K. (2007). Does inflation targeting make a difference? NBER Working Paper No. 12876.

Arestis, P., & Sawyer, M. (2008). New consensus macroeconomics and inflation targeting. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 32(5), 761–779.

Walsh, C. E. (2010). Monetary theory and policy. MIT Press.

Roger, S. (2010). Inflation targeting turns 20. Finance & Development, 47(1), 46–49.

Blanchard, O., Dell’Ariccia, G., & Mauro, P. (2010). Rethinking macroeconomic policy. IMF Staff Position Note.

Ahmad, N. R. (2025). AI-enabled public governance in developing states: Service delivery gains, accountability risks, and a practical risk-based regulatory model. https://doi.org/10.52152/wja5db40

Irk, E. (2025). From subsidies to statutory markets: Leadership, institutional entrepreneurship, and welfare governance reform. https://doi.org/10.52152/s59sjh53

Ahmad, N. R. (2025). Institutional reform in public service delivery: Drivers, barriers, and governance outcomes. Journal of Human and Social Research. https://doi.org/10.52152/jhs8rn12

Ahmad, N. R. (2025). Urban water service delivery in emerging economies: Fiscal sustainability, cost recovery, and governance performance. International Journal of Business Economics and Administration. https://doi.org/10.24088/IJBEA-2025-103005

Sohail, N., Haque, A., Aziz, S., & Maruf, T. I. (2023). Impact of diffusion of innovation among Pakistani consumers’ adoption of halal cosmetics. South East Asia Journal of Contemporary Business, Economics and Law, 30(2), 39–50. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13798671

Downloads

Published

2025-12-31